|12/03/15||The Champion By NHMS Numbers|
|11/20/15||The Championship Four Preview|
|11/13/15||Phoenix: Three To Watch|
|10/30/15||Martinsville: Three To Watch|
|10/18/15||Kansas: Three To Watch|
|10/05/15||Charlotte: Three To Watch|
CHASE FANTASY: Phoenix
It took elimination from the Chase for Dale Earnhardt Jr. and Jimmie Johnson to get the memo that it's all about winning. Neither driver is eligible for the title, but both have stolen victories from those that could have punched their ticket to the Championship Race.
At Martinsville, Earnhardt Jr. held off teammate Jeff Gordon, and Johnson edged both Brad Keselowski and Kevin Harvick at Texas on Sunday. All three of those that missed victory will be fighting for their championship hopes this weekend at Phoenix International Raceway. Gordon is one point into the final four, while Keselowski is five points back and Harvick six.
All Eliminator Eight drivers have a great chance to race their way into the Chase considering Harvick is currently in last, but nothing's for sure. The only way to guarantee the opportunity to race for the title at Homestead would be to win at Phoenix and let the other seven contenders hope the chips fall in their favor.
Here's a fantasy look at which of the remaining eight drivers have the best and worst chances to perform well on Sunday:
Green Flag - Kevin Harvick
Harvick is the all-time wins leader at Phoenix with five and he has won three of the last four races at the track. He only has eight top-fives in 23 starts, so he's not always dominant, but it's hard to ignore his recent success.
Caution Flag - Denny Hamlin
There's plenty of cause for optimism for Hamlin and the No. 11 team. He shares the points lead with Joey Logano and sits 13 points up on Chase cutoff line with just one race to go. He also has eight top-fives in 18 races at Phoenix. However, despite that gaudy stat, he only has one other top-10 at the track and has recorded finishes of 28th and 19th in his last two Phoenix races.
Red Flag - Matt Kenseth
Kenseth could be in trouble in the Chase. He was dominant early at Texas, but faded to an ugly 25th-place finish and sits a point out of the cut off. His career stats at Phoenix don't jump off the page with a 17.2 average finish and just five top-fives in 24 starts.